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« Position Review: Starting Pitchers | Main | Odds & Ends »

May 04, 2008

Position Review: Relief Pitchers

Rp050408
Rp2050408

To download the Excel sheet with the valuation data, click here.

Best W Source: 8 Pitchers [3]
Best SV Source: Francisco Rodriguez [12]
Best K Source: Carlos Marmol [28]
Best ERA Source: Chad Qualls [16.7 IP of 0.00 ERA]
Best WHIP Source: James Johnson [15.3 IP of 0.46 WHIP]

Thoughts on the Top 10:

  1. Jonathan Papelbon-$25.59-Just Papelbon being Papelbon.  Buy.
  2. Mariano Rivera-$25.06-I must have pissed him off when I sold on him last week, as he's gained $6.21 of value in the past week thanks to 3 scoreless IP with 4 K and 2 SVs.  I'm kind of torn on buying on a 38 year old closer, but if I had to, I'd take the gamble on Rivera.  Buy.
  3. Joakim Soria-$24.92-Easily the best surprise RP of the season, he hasn't allowed a run in 12 IP, struck out 15 batters, and logged 7 SVs.  He's poised to become one of the elite closers in the game; one hell of a Rule V draft pick.  Buy.
  4. Carlos Marmol-$21.23-A little shocking to see a non-closer this high, but looking at his production, it makes sense.  He's had 21 IP of 1.29 ERA with a 0.67 WHIP and a 12.0 K/9.  Although Lou Pinella is standing by Kerry Wood, Marmol is certainly not hurting his case with the kind of production he's showing.  Regardless, I doubt he maintains this value without a change to the closers role.  Sell.
  5. Billy Wagner-$20.93-Just Billy being Billy.  Buy.
  6. Troy Percival-$18.64-The Rays are managing him wisely, limiting his IP load to 10 thus far.  There's no real science behind my skepticism on Percival, but it still exists.  Sell.
  7. Joe Nathan-$18.20-Just Joe being Joe.  Buy.
  8. Brad Lidge-$17.38-Lidge is doing his part to give credence to the "change of scenery" argument that goes with certain transactions.  He looks like the Brad Lidge I remember from the pre-Pujolian era.  Buy.
  9. Brandon Lyon-$16.70-He hasn't given up an ER in 12 outings since April 6.  Lyon is one of the reasons why the D-Backs have been as good as they've been.  Can he maintain it?  He's certainly trending in the right direction, and has the right team behind him.  Buy.
  10. Chad Qualls-$13.75-He hasn't given up an ER in 16.2 IP as a D-Back this season.  It's still difficult to imagine him maintaining this value without closing, and Brandon Lyon is certainly off of the hot seat.  Sell.

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