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« Odds & Ends | Main | Odds & Ends »

May 03, 2008

Position Review: Outfielders

Please note: Stats from yesterday's games [5/2/08] are not included in the valuations for this post.

Of050308
Of2050308

To download the Excel sheet with the valuation data, click here.

Best HR Source: Pat Burrell [8]
Best R Source: Carl Crawford [26]
Best RBI Source: Josh Hamilton [32]
Best SB Source: Michael Bourn [13]
Best AVG Source: Kosuke Fukudome [36 H in 102 AB]

Thoughts on the Top 10:

  1. Nate McLouth-$34.20-I'm still a skeptic on his ability to hit for average, but this last hot streak has impressed me greatly.  He's 10 for his last 24 with 4 HR, 1 SB, 11 R and 9 RBI.  If you're planning on selling, now is probably the peak of his value.  If he keeps this going for a few more weeks, I will reverse my position, however.  Sell.
  2. Pat Burrell-$28.89-Just 5 for his last 21, Burrell is slowly coming back to earth.  His average will continue to regress, and his value will come down with it.  Sell.
  3. Josh Hamilton-$27.77-I bought on Hamilton last week, and he's done well in the week since.  He went 9 for his last 25 with 2 HR and 9 RBI.  This guy is looking more legit as a top-tier OF by the week.  Buy.
  4. Carl Crawford-$26.43-Just doing what he normally does - scoring runs, stealing bases, and hitting near .300.  Buy.
  5. Carlos Quentin-$26.03-Quentin continues to amaze.  He shoots up into the Top 10 this week after going 9 for his last 22 with 2 HR and 2 SB.  He's still a little over his head at this value, for the reasons noted by Tim Dierkes.  He'll be good, but not this good.  Sell.
  6. Manny Ramirez-$23.93-The Sell tag from last week is looking good.  Man-Ram is just 2 for his last 20, but he did steal a base.  I'm still thinking he'll regress further from here.  Sell.
  7. Alex Rios-$22.33-With 7 swipes already this year, Rios is compensating for only 3 HRs so far.  This is right around the neighborhood I expect him to be in.  Buy.
  8. Xavier Nady-$21.50-X-Nad is just being a pest now.  I've been selling on him for weeks, yet still he remains.  Regardless, he's 5 for his last 20, and I don't think I'll shock anyone by still being a skeptic on a $20+ season for Nady.  Sell.
  9. Josh Willingham-$20.89-He was having a great season before hitting the DL with a lower back strain.  Regardless, he's not going to hit .341 all season, so you'll still want to move him if you can.  Sell.
  10. B.J. Upton-$20.21-Over the past week, both Upton Brothers are 5 for 18.  A strange note, but Bossman Junior is putting up solid numbers on the season.  He's yet to really breakout this year, but he'll do so at some point.  Buy.

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